CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#142 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
UNiTY#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNiTY ban
21%46%
MOUZ NXT · 15 mapsedge UNiTY +25%UNiTY · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
29%53%
MOUZ NXT · 13 mapsedge UNiTY +24%UNiTY · 11 maps
AncientUNiTY pick
67%63%
MOUZ NXT · 8 mapsnearly even +4%UNiTY · 15 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
64%29%
MOUZ NXT · 18 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +35%UNiTY · 3 maps
CacheMOUZ NXT pick
53%36%
MOUZ NXT · 13 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +17%UNiTY · 7 maps
AnubisMOUZ NXT ban
44%67%
MOUZ NXT · 5 mapsedge UNiTY +23%UNiTY · 8 maps
InfernoMOUZ NXT ban
40%50%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Inferno
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickMOUZ NXT take Cache
4. PickUNiTY take Ancient
5. BanUNiTY remove Dust2
6. BanMOUZ NXT remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (29% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed8:13
MOUZ NXT 69%UNiTY 31%
The model gave 69% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Mirageprediction correct4:13
MOUZ NXT 24%UNiTY 76%
The model gave 76% on UNiTY — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 59%
Series resultUNiTY 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2