CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#40 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Leo#117 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FOKUS ban
43%46%
FOKUS · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Leo · 22 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%45%
FOKUS · 12 mapsedge FOKUS +5%Leo · 16 maps
NukeLeo pick
44%85%
FOKUS · 12 mapsedge Leo +41%Leo · 16 maps
MirageLeo ban
45%36%
FOKUS · 7 mapsedge FOKUS +9%Leo · 7 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
50%36%
FOKUS · 2 mapsedge FOKUS +14%Leo · 10 maps
CacheFOKUS pick
80%38%
FOKUS · 6 mapsedge FOKUS +42%Leo · 4 maps
InfernoLeo ban
44%50%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge Leo +6%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
2. BanLeo remove Inferno
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickLeo take Nuke
5. BanLeo remove Mirage
6. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:5
FOKUS 88%Leo 12%
The model gave 88% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Anubisprediction correct13:2
FOKUS 61%Leo 39%
The model gave 61% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 58%
Series resultFOKUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2