CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#21 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
69%56%
Nemiga · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +13%Just Players · 32 maps
Ancientpossible decider
48%62%
Nemiga · 17 mapsedge Just Players +14%Just Players · 22 maps
Dust2Just Players ban
56%39%
Nemiga · 14 mapsedge Nemiga +17%Just Players · 24 maps
NukeJust Players ban
54%35%
Nemiga · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Just Players · 16 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
73%50%
Nemiga · 11 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Just Players · 8 maps
CacheNemiga ban
56%33%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Just Players · 8 maps
DefaultNemiga ban
40%64%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge Just Players +24%Just Players · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Cache
2. BanJust Players remove Nuke
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Dust2
6. BanNemiga remove Default
DeciderAncient (48% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Nemiga 34%Just Players 66%
The model gave 66% on Just Players — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
Nemiga 74%Just Players 26%
The model gave 74% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 66%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2