IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Rare Atom#98 in the world · win 2:0series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lynn Vision#31 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Rare Atom pick
69%42%
Rare Atom · 9 mapsedge Rare Atom +27%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
AncientRare Atom ban
55%36%
Rare Atom · 7 mapsedge Rare Atom +19%Lynn Vision · 7 maps
InfernoLynn Vision pick
38%46%
Rare Atom · 4 mapsedge Lynn Vision +8%Lynn Vision · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%50%
Rare Atom · 5 mapsedge Rare Atom +17%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
60%43%
Rare Atom · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +17%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
63%50%
Rare Atom · 4 mapsedge Rare Atom +13%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
NukeRare Atom ban
50%67%
Rare Atom · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
2. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
3. PickRare Atom take Dust2
4. PickLynn Vision take Inferno
5. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
6. BanRare Atom remove Ancient
DeciderCache (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
Rare Atom 69%Lynn Vision 31%
The model gave 69% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Rare Atom 74%Lynn Vision 26%
The model gave 74% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 74%
Series resultRare Atom 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2