IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Kaleido#167 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoKaleido ban
42%70%
Kaleido · 8 mapsedge FlyQuest +28%FlyQuest · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%50%
Kaleido · 6 mapsnearly even +0%FlyQuest · 6 maps
AncientKaleido pick
50%50%
Kaleido · 10 mapsnearly even +0%FlyQuest · 0 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
50%73%
Kaleido · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +23%FlyQuest · 7 maps
NukeFlyQuest ban
50%57%
Kaleido · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%FlyQuest · 3 maps
MirageFlyQuest ban
57%40%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +17%FlyQuest · 1 map
CacheKaleido ban
29%50%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +21%FlyQuest · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKaleido remove Cache
2. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
3. PickKaleido take Ancient
4. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
5. BanFlyQuest remove Nuke
6. BanKaleido remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
Kaleido 31%FlyQuest 69%
The model gave 69% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Anubisprediction correct4:13
Kaleido 25%FlyQuest 75%
The model gave 75% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 76%
Series resultFlyQuest 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2