IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DEPO#87 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DEPO pick
50%50%
FlyQuest · 6 mapsnearly even +0%DEPO · 10 maps
InfernoDEPO ban
70%44%
FlyQuest · 6 mapsedge FlyQuest +26%DEPO · 5 maps
MirageFlyQuest ban
40%54%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge DEPO +14%DEPO · 9 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
75%40%
FlyQuest · 8 mapsedge FlyQuest +35%DEPO · 1 map
AncientFlyQuest ban
50%58%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge DEPO +8%DEPO · 8 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%57%
FlyQuest · 1 mapnearly even +3%DEPO · 3 maps
NukeDEPO ban
57%50%
FlyQuest · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%DEPO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
2. BanDEPO remove Nuke
3. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
4. PickDEPO take Dust2
5. BanDEPO remove Inferno
6. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
DeciderCache (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
FlyQuest 84%DEPO 16%
The model gave 84% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
FlyQuest 39%DEPO 61%
The model gave 61% on DEPO — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 67%
Series resultFlyQuest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2