IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · win 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Eternal Fire#47 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEternal Fire pick
67%62%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%Eternal Fire · 9 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
54%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
61%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsnearly even +1%Eternal Fire · 1 map
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
33%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +24%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
78%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +23%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%33%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
71%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
DeciderCache (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct16:13
Nuclear TigeRES 53%Eternal Fire 47%
The model gave 53% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
Nuclear TigeRES 54%Eternal Fire 46%
The model gave 54% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 53%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2