IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#34 in the world · win 2:0series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR#28 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
67%50%
K27 · 17 mapsedge K27 +17%MIBR · 8 maps
NukeMIBR pick
29%62%
K27 · 13 mapsedge MIBR +33%MIBR · 9 maps
AncientMIBR ban
59%36%
K27 · 13 mapsedge K27 +23%MIBR · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
53%71%
K27 · 11 mapsedge MIBR +18%MIBR · 3 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
62%50%
K27 · 9 mapsedge K27 +12%MIBR · 0 maps
AnubisK27 ban
50%67%
K27 · 6 mapsedge MIBR +17%MIBR · 2 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%58%
K27 · 0 mapsedge MIBR +8%MIBR · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanMIBR remove Dust2
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickMIBR take Nuke
5. BanMIBR remove Ancient
6. BanK27 remove Anubis
DeciderCache (53% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:6
K27 34%MIBR 66%
The model gave 66% on MIBR — the map was taken by K27.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
K27 19%MIBR 81%
The model gave 81% on MIBR — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR · 67%
Series resultK27 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2