IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 1:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FlyQuest#60 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
46%73%
TYLOO · 9 mapsedge FlyQuest +27%FlyQuest · 7 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
57%71%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +14%FlyQuest · 10 maps
MirageFlyQuest ban
69%50%
TYLOO · 9 mapsedge TYLOO +19%FlyQuest · 0 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
44%57%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +13%FlyQuest · 3 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%55%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +5%FlyQuest · 7 maps
AncientTYLOO pick
75%60%
TYLOO · 4 mapsedge TYLOO +15%FlyQuest · 1 map
CacheFlyQuest ban
60%60%
TYLOO · 1 mapnearly even +0%FlyQuest · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
3. PickTYLOO take Ancient
4. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
5. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
6. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (46% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
TYLOO 47%FlyQuest 53%
The model gave 53% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 58%
Series resultTYLOO 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1