IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
50%70%
B8 · 12 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +20%Nuclear TigeRES · 16 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
67%50%
B8 · 8 mapsedge B8 +17%Nuclear TigeRES · 10 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
20%33%
B8 · 11 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +13%Nuclear TigeRES · 5 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%63%
B8 · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +13%Nuclear TigeRES · 15 maps
NukeB8 pick
71%50%
B8 · 3 mapsedge B8 +21%Nuclear TigeRES · 10 maps
InfernoB8 ban
56%80%
B8 · 5 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +24%Nuclear TigeRES · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%71%
B8 · 2 mapsnearly even -4%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
3. PickB8 take Nuke
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
6. BanB8 remove Inferno
DeciderCache (67% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
B8 22%Nuclear TigeRES 78%
The model gave 78% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by B8.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
B8 36%Nuclear TigeRES 64%
The model gave 64% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 76%
Series resultB8 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2