Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#127 in the world · win 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2
50%60%
5star · 0 mapsedge Unitronics +10%Unitronics · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
5star 37%Unitronics 63%
The model gave 63% on Unitronics — the map was taken by Unitronics.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
5star 53%Unitronics 47%
The model gave 53% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
5star 50%Unitronics 50%
The model gave 50% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favorite5star · 65%
Series result5star 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3