Tipsport Open Cup 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamersLabloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJam pick
40%60%
GamersLab · 1 mapedge Jam +20%Jam · 1 map
NukeJam ban
33%50%
GamersLab · 2 mapsedge Jam +17%Jam · 0 maps
AnubisGamersLab ban
50%60%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge Jam +10%Jam · 1 map
Dust2GamersLab pick
60%50%
GamersLab · 1 mapedge GamersLab +10%Jam · 0 maps
MirageJam ban
40%50%
GamersLab · 1 mapedge Jam +10%Jam · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamersLab remove Anubis
2. BanJam remove Mirage
3. PickGamersLab take Dust2
4. PickJam take Ancient
5. BanJam remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
GamersLab 33%Jam 67%
The model gave 67% on Jam — the map was taken by Jam.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
GamersLab 37%Jam 63%
The model gave 63% on Jam — the map was taken by Jam.
Model check result
Model favoriteJam · 50%
Series resultJam 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2