Kibertochka Season 2 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Tricksters#185 in the worldseries probability
60%40%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
DONSTU#174 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisDONSTU pick
50%48%
Tricksters · 0 mapsnearly even +2%DONSTU · 17 maps
Dust2DONSTU ban
60%39%
Tricksters · 1 mapedge Tricksters +21%DONSTU · 14 maps
CacheTricksters pick
67%43%
Tricksters · 2 mapsedge Tricksters +24%DONSTU · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%38%
Tricksters · 1 mapnearly even +2%DONSTU · 9 maps
NukeTricksters ban
50%25%
Tricksters · 0 mapsedge Tricksters +25%DONSTU · 8 maps
InfernoTricksters ban
50%50%
Tricksters · 0 mapsnearly even +0%DONSTU · 6 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
43%40%
Tricksters · 3 mapsnearly even +3%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTricksters remove Nuke
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickTricksters take Cache
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Dust2
6. BanTricksters remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (40% / 38%)