Kibertochka Season 2 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the worldseries probability
73%27%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
DONSTU#174 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
54%37%
Spirit Academy · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%DONSTU · 15 maps
AnubisDONSTU pick
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%DONSTU · 18 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
80%38%
Spirit Academy · 6 mapsedge Spirit Academy +42%DONSTU · 9 maps
CacheSpirit Academy ban
50%47%
Spirit Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +3%DONSTU · 11 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
44%25%
Spirit Academy · 5 mapsedge Spirit Academy +19%DONSTU · 8 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%DONSTU · 6 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
38%40%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsnearly even -2%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (54% / 37%)