Radio Popular Roman Imperium Cup VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
6666#157 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientREVENIX ban
55%33%
6666 · 7 mapsedge 6666 +22%REVENIX · 2 maps
Inferno6666 ban
17%50%
6666 · 8 mapsedge REVENIX +33%REVENIX · 0 maps
Mirage6666 pick
57%40%
6666 · 3 mapsedge 6666 +17%REVENIX · 1 map
AnubisREVENIX pick
33%40%
6666 · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +7%REVENIX · 1 map
Dust26666 ban
33%40%
6666 · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +7%REVENIX · 1 map
NukeREVENIX ban
33%40%
6666 · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +7%REVENIX · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6666 remove Inferno
2. BanREVENIX remove Ancient
3. Pick6666 take Mirage
4. PickREVENIX take Anubis
5. BanREVENIX remove Nuke
6. Ban6666 remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
6666 40%REVENIX 60%
The model gave 60% on REVENIX — the map was taken by 6666.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
6666 46%REVENIX 54%
The model gave 54% on REVENIX — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favoriteREVENIX · 50%
Series result6666 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2