BRO Cyber League Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#105 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Total Domination ban
80%50%
Omega · 11 mapsedge Omega +30%Total Domination · 0 maps
AncientOmega ban
36%50%
Omega · 7 mapsedge Total Domination +14%Total Domination · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
45%50%
Omega · 7 mapsedge Total Domination +5%Total Domination · 0 maps
InfernoOmega pick
50%50%
Omega · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Total Domination · 0 maps
CacheTotal Domination ban
50%50%
Omega · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Total Domination · 0 maps
NukeOmega ban
50%50%
Omega · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Total Domination · 0 maps
DefaultTotal Domination pick
40%50%
Omega · 1 mapedge Total Domination +10%Total Domination · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Ancient
2. BanTotal Domination remove Dust2
3. PickOmega take Inferno
4. PickTotal Domination take Default
5. BanTotal Domination remove Cache
6. BanOmega remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Omega 42%Total Domination 58%
The model gave 58% on Total Domination — the map was taken by Omega.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Omega 82%Total Domination 18%
The model gave 82% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega · 71%
Series resultOmega 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2