BRO Cyber League Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#105 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DEPO#87 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
81%54%
Omega · 12 mapsedge Omega +27%DEPO · 9 maps
AncientOmega ban
36%50%
Omega · 7 mapsedge DEPO +14%DEPO · 8 maps
MirageDEPO pick
50%55%
Omega · 8 mapsedge DEPO +5%DEPO · 7 maps
InfernoDEPO ban
50%43%
Omega · 4 mapsedge Omega +7%DEPO · 3 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%60%
Omega · 2 mapsedge DEPO +10%DEPO · 1 map
NukeDEPO ban
50%50%
Omega · 2 mapsnearly even +0%DEPO · 0 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%40%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +10%DEPO · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. BanDEPO remove Nuke
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickDEPO take Mirage
5. BanDEPO remove Inferno
6. BanOmega remove Ancient
DeciderCache (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
Omega 37%DEPO 63%
The model gave 63% on DEPO — the map was taken by Omega.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Omega 81%DEPO 19%
The model gave 81% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega · 60%
Series resultOmega 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2