Stake Ranked Episode 4 Open Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
Eternal Fire#78 in the worldseries probability
55%45%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ENCE#113 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageENCE ban
45%41%
Eternal Fire · 7 mapsnearly even +4%ENCE · 18 maps
NukeENCE pick
43%53%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge ENCE +10%ENCE · 13 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
55%45%
Eternal Fire · 7 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%ENCE · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
63%56%
Eternal Fire · 4 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%ENCE · 5 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
50%40%
Eternal Fire · 8 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%ENCE · 1 map
AnubisEternal Fire ban
60%64%
Eternal Fire · 1 mapnearly even -4%ENCE · 7 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
33%80%
Eternal Fire · 2 mapsedge ENCE +47%ENCE · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
2. BanENCE remove Dust2
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickENCE take Nuke
5. BanENCE remove Mirage
6. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
DeciderCache (63% / 56%)