CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-MANA pick
48%50%
ex-MANA · 21 mapnearly even -2%ex-RUSTEC · 18 maps
Miragepossible decider
59%70%
ex-MANA · 13 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +11%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
Nukeex-MANA ban
30%47%
ex-MANA · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
40%60%
ex-MANA · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +20%ex-RUSTEC · 11 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
44%50%
ex-MANA · 12 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
38%40%
ex-MANA · 4 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
Cacheex-MANA ban
43%50%
ex-MANA · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. Pickex-MANA take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. Banex-MANA remove Cache
DeciderMirage (59% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
ex-MANA 28%ex-RUSTEC 72%
The model gave 72% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
ex-MANA 41%ex-RUSTEC 59%
The model gave 59% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
ex-MANA 47%ex-RUSTEC 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 58%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3