CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#94 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2mellren pick
50%40%
mellren · 2 mapsedge mellren +10%Spirit Academy · 6 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
57%71%
mellren · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
71%29%
mellren · 3 mapsedge mellren +42%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
57%50%
mellren · 3 mapsedge mellren +7%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Nukemellren ban
50%43%
mellren · 0 mapsedge mellren +7%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%60%
mellren · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Spirit Academy · 1 map
Cachemellren ban
50%60%
mellren · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Spirit Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
3. Pickmellren take Dust2
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
6. Banmellren remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
mellren 32%Spirit Academy 68%
The model gave 68% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
mellren 63%Spirit Academy 37%
The model gave 63% on mellren — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 51%
Series resultSpirit Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2