CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
50%53%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Just Players · 30 maps
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
67%42%
Black Phoenix · 8 mapsedge Black Phoenix +25%Just Players · 22 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
50%59%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge Just Players +9%Just Players · 23 maps
NukeJust Players ban
43%50%
Black Phoenix · 3 mapsedge Just Players +7%Just Players · 12 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%67%
Black Phoenix · 3 mapsedge Just Players +24%Just Players · 5 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
33%78%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Just Players +45%Just Players · 5 maps
CacheJust Players ban
57%25%
Black Phoenix · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +32%Just Players · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanJust Players remove Cache
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Nuke
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (43% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
Black Phoenix 44%Just Players 56%
The model gave 56% on Just Players — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Black Phoenix 75%Just Players 25%
The model gave 75% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 63%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2