CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
VEXA#257 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisVEXA pick
40%60%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge VEXA +20%VEXA · 1 map
DefaultVEXA ban
50%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsnearly even +0%VEXA · 0 maps
AncientVEXA ban
40%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge VEXA +10%VEXA · 0 maps
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
50%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 0 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%VEXA · 1 map
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%60%
METANOIA Wolves · 0 mapsedge VEXA +10%VEXA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanVEXA remove Ancient
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickVEXA take Anubis
5. BanVEXA remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
METANOIA Wolves 63%VEXA 37%
The model gave 63% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by VEXA.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
METANOIA Wolves 37%VEXA 63%
The model gave 63% on VEXA — the map was taken by VEXA.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 66%
Series resultVEXA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2