CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
6yuBoJlbl#168 in the world · win 2:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HYPERSPIRIT#113 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheHYPERSPIRIT pick
50%60%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 11 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%46%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT ban
71%36%
6yuBoJlbl · 3 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +35%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
50%31%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +19%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
Mirage6yuBoJlbl pick
67%55%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +12%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
50%50%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Default6yuBoJlbl ban
50%60%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Dust2
3. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Mirage
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Cache
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
6. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Default
DeciderInferno (33% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
6yuBoJlbl 83%HYPERSPIRIT 17%
The model gave 83% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
6yuBoJlbl 37%HYPERSPIRIT 63%
The model gave 63% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
6yuBoJlbl 69%HYPERSPIRIT 31%
The model gave 69% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Model check result
Model favorite6yuBoJlbl · 57%
Series result6yuBoJlbl 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3