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CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
6yuBoJlbl#177 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Illyrians#124 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirage6yuBoJlbl pick
71%54%
6yuBoJlbl · 3 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +17%Illyrians · 20 maps
Dust2Illyrians pick
63%48%
6yuBoJlbl · 4 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +15%Illyrians · 17 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%54%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsnearly even -4%Illyrians · 9 maps
CacheIllyrians ban
50%69%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge Illyrians +19%Illyrians · 9 maps
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
50%70%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsedge Illyrians +20%Illyrians · 6 maps
Default6yuBoJlbl ban
40%43%
6yuBoJlbl · 1 mapnearly even -3%Illyrians · 3 maps
InfernoIllyrians ban
33%50%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge Illyrians +17%Illyrians · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
2. BanIllyrians remove Inferno
3. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Mirage
4. PickIllyrians take Dust2
5. BanIllyrians remove Cache
6. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Default
DeciderAncient (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
6yuBoJlbl 70%Illyrians 30%
The model gave 70% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Cacheprediction correct12:16
6yuBoJlbl 28%Illyrians 72%
The model gave 72% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
6yuBoJlbl 46%Illyrians 54%
The model gave 54% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Model check result
Model favoriteIllyrians · 58%
Series resultIllyrians 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3