Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLazer Cats pick
65%57%
Walczaki · 16 mapsedge Walczaki +8%Lazer Cats · 10 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
54%60%
Walczaki · 24 mapsedge Lazer Cats +6%Lazer Cats · 1 map
Dust2Walczaki ban
43%27%
Walczaki · 17 mapsedge Walczaki +16%Lazer Cats · 7 maps
AnubisWalczaki pick
63%43%
Walczaki · 15 mapsedge Walczaki +20%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
InfernoWalczaki ban
53%56%
Walczaki · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Lazer Cats · 5 maps
MirageLazer Cats ban
71%44%
Walczaki · 10 mapsedge Walczaki +27%Lazer Cats · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%67%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
6. BanWalczaki remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (57% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
Walczaki 44%Lazer Cats 56%
The model gave 56% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Walczaki 46%Lazer Cats 54%
The model gave 54% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 75%
Series resultLazer Cats 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2