BRO Summer Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
DONSTU#221 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ALTAY#196 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisDONSTU pick
55%50%
DONSTU · 18 mapsedge DONSTU +5%ALTAY · 0 maps
Dust2ALTAY pick
33%43%
DONSTU · 14 mapsedge ALTAY +10%ALTAY · 3 maps
InfernoALTAY ban
43%50%
DONSTU · 10 mapsedge ALTAY +7%ALTAY · 0 maps
AncientALTAY ban
38%50%
DONSTU · 9 mapsedge ALTAY +12%ALTAY · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%50%
DONSTU · 5 mapsedge DONSTU +17%ALTAY · 0 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
38%40%
DONSTU · 4 mapsnearly even -2%ALTAY · 1 map
MirageDONSTU ban
50%50%
DONSTU · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ALTAY · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
2. BanALTAY remove Ancient
3. PickDONSTU take Anubis
4. PickALTAY take Dust2
5. BanALTAY remove Inferno
6. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
DeciderCache (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
DONSTU 37%ALTAY 63%
The model gave 63% on ALTAY — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
DONSTU 69%ALTAY 31%
The model gave 69% on DONSTU — the map was taken by ALTAY.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
DONSTU 38%ALTAY 62%
The model gave 62% on ALTAY — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 52%
Series resultDONSTU 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3