StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
59%64%
LP · 13 mapsedge BESTIA +5%BESTIA · 10 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
64%38%
LP · 18 mapsedge LP +26%BESTIA · 4 maps
AncientLP pick
70%50%
LP · 16 mapsedge LP +20%BESTIA · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
59%50%
LP · 13 mapsedge LP +9%BESTIA · 4 maps
MirageLP ban
44%71%
LP · 12 mapsedge BESTIA +27%BESTIA · 3 maps
CacheBESTIA ban
75%57%
LP · 4 mapsedge LP +18%BESTIA · 3 maps
OverpassLP ban
50%40%
LP · 4 mapsedge LP +10%BESTIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
3. PickLP take Ancient
4. PickBESTIA take Dust2
5. BanBESTIA remove Cache
6. BanLP remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (59% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
LP 72%BESTIA 28%
The model gave 72% on LP — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct16:19
LP 41%BESTIA 59%
The model gave 59% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 56%
Series resultBESTIA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2