CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
54%43%
GenOne · 9 mapsedge GenOne +11%Lavked · 10 maps
NukeLavked pick
60%57%
GenOne · 6 mapsnearly even +3%Lavked · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%73%
GenOne · 6 mapsedge Lavked +23%Lavked · 7 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%69%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge Lavked +19%Lavked · 12 maps
InfernoLavked ban
71%33%
GenOne · 3 mapsedge GenOne +38%Lavked · 8 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
38%60%
GenOne · 4 mapsedge Lavked +22%Lavked · 1 map
AnubisLavked ban
50%40%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +10%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanLavked remove Anubis
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickLavked take Nuke
5. BanLavked remove Inferno
6. BanGenOne remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (50% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
GenOne 64%Lavked 36%
The model gave 64% on GenOne — the map was taken by Lavked.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
GenOne 50%Lavked 50%
The model gave 50% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 71%
Series resultLavked 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2