Parken Challenger Championship Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Acend#125 in the world · win 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAFOloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:0
Acend 47%HAFO 53%
The model gave 53% on HAFO — the map was taken by Acend.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Acend 53%HAFO 47%
The model gave 53% on Acend — the map was taken by Acend.
Model check result
Model favoriteAcend · 78%
Series resultAcend 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2