Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lynn Vision#36 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lynn Vision pick
46%25%
Lynn Vision · 9 mapsedge Lynn Vision +21%Vitality · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
54%63%
Lynn Vision · 9 mapsedge Vitality +9%Vitality · 4 maps
AncientVitality ban
38%50%
Lynn Vision · 9 mapsedge Vitality +12%Vitality · 0 maps
NukeLynn Vision ban
63%63%
Lynn Vision · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 4 maps
AnubisVitality ban
57%29%
Lynn Vision · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +28%Vitality · 3 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
50%57%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge Vitality +7%Vitality · 3 maps
OverpassVitality pick
60%67%
Lynn Vision · 1 mapedge Vitality +7%Vitality · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickLynn Vision take Dust2
4. PickVitality take Overpass
5. BanVitality remove Anubis
6. BanLynn Vision remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (54% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed2:13
Lynn Vision 74%Vitality 26%
The model gave 74% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by Vitality.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
Lynn Vision 38%Vitality 62%
The model gave 62% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 88%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2