CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageM1X KS pick
60%38%
M1X KS · 1 mapedge M1X KS +22%The Last Resort · 4 maps
NukeThe Last Resort ban
50%38%
M1X KS · 0 mapsedge M1X KS +12%The Last Resort · 4 maps
OverpassM1X KS ban
50%57%
M1X KS · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +7%The Last Resort · 3 maps
AncientThe Last Resort pick
50%50%
M1X KS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%The Last Resort · 2 maps
AnubisM1X KS ban
50%67%
M1X KS · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +17%The Last Resort · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
M1X KS · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 1 map
Dust2The Last Resort ban
60%50%
M1X KS · 1 mapedge M1X KS +10%The Last Resort · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM1X KS remove Overpass
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
3. PickM1X KS take Mirage
4. PickThe Last Resort take Ancient
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Nuke
6. BanM1X KS remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
M1X KS 74%The Last Resort 26%
The model gave 74% on M1X KS — the map was taken by M1X KS.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
M1X KS 47%The Last Resort 53%
The model gave 53% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Anubisprediction correct7:13
M1X KS 33%The Last Resort 67%
The model gave 67% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 66%
Series resultThe Last Resort 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3