Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fluxo pick
50%44%
Fluxo · 2 mapsedge Fluxo +6%Fake do Biru · 5 maps
NukeFake do Biru pick
40%67%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge Fake do Biru +27%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
33%50%
Fluxo · 2 mapsedge Fake do Biru +17%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
50%50%
Fluxo · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
MirageFluxo ban
50%33%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +17%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
InfernoFake do Biru ban
50%40%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +10%Fake do Biru · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Anubis
2. BanFake do Biru remove Inferno
3. PickFluxo take Dust2
4. PickFake do Biru take Nuke
5. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
6. BanFluxo remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
Fluxo 53%Fake do Biru 47%
The model gave 53% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Fluxo 63%Fake do Biru 37%
The model gave 63% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 58%
Series resultFake do Biru 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2