CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
62%50%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge JiJieHao +12%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
InfernoJiJieHao pick
70%57%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge JiJieHao +13%Black Phoenix · 3 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix pick
63%56%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%Black Phoenix · 5 maps
Dust2JiJieHao ban
33%60%
JiJieHao · 2 mapsedge Black Phoenix +27%Black Phoenix · 6 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
50%33%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge JiJieHao +17%Black Phoenix · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%50%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge JiJieHao +10%Black Phoenix · 2 maps
DefaultJiJieHao ban
50%43%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%Black Phoenix · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Dust2
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickJiJieHao take Inferno
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Mirage
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
6. BanJiJieHao remove Default
DeciderCache (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
JiJieHao 60%Black Phoenix 40%
The model gave 60% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
JiJieHao 23%Black Phoenix 77%
The model gave 77% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Cacheprediction missed10:13
JiJieHao 60%Black Phoenix 40%
The model gave 60% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 57%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3