CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC#147 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UNiTY#102 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTNC pick
57%44%
TNC · 3 mapsedge TNC +13%UNiTY · 5 maps
AnubisUNiTY ban
57%43%
TNC · 3 mapsedge TNC +14%UNiTY · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%50%
TNC · 1 mapedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 4 maps
MirageUNiTY pick
33%57%
TNC · 2 mapsedge UNiTY +24%UNiTY · 3 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
57%50%
TNC · 3 mapsedge TNC +7%UNiTY · 0 maps
DefaultTNC ban
50%60%
TNC · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 1 map
InfernoTNC ban
50%60%
TNC · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTNC remove Inferno
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickTNC take Ancient
4. PickUNiTY take Mirage
5. BanUNiTY remove Anubis
6. BanTNC remove Default
DeciderDust2 (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct19:16
TNC 65%UNiTY 35%
The model gave 65% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
TNC 25%UNiTY 75%
The model gave 75% on UNiTY — the map was taken by TNC.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC · 58%
Series resultTNC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2