CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
56%55%
K27 · 12 mapsnearly even +1%Just Players · 29 maps
AncientJust Players pick
64%60%
K27 · 10 mapsnearly even +4%Just Players · 21 map
Dust2Just Players ban
60%40%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +20%Just Players · 21 map
NukeJust Players ban
25%47%
K27 · 12 mapsedge Just Players +22%Just Players · 11 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%56%
K27 · 6 mapsnearly even +4%Just Players · 5 maps
AnubisK27 ban
38%78%
K27 · 4 mapsedge Just Players +40%Just Players · 5 maps
DefaultK27 ban
33%67%
K27 · 2 mapsedge Just Players +34%Just Players · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Anubis
2. BanJust Players remove Dust2
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickJust Players take Ancient
5. BanJust Players remove Nuke
6. BanK27 remove Default
DeciderOverpass (60% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
K27 30%Just Players 70%
The model gave 70% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
K27 49%Just Players 51%
The model gave 51% on Just Players — the map was taken by K27.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
K27 55%Just Players 45%
The model gave 55% on K27 — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 73%
Series resultJust Players 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3