BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The MongolZ#16 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientThe MongolZ ban
50%33%
FaZe · 12 mapsedge FaZe +17%The MongolZ · 5 maps
MirageFaZe pick
75%36%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +39%The MongolZ · 7 maps
Dust2The MongolZ pick
36%64%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge The MongolZ +28%The MongolZ · 7 maps
NukeFaZe ban
56%50%
FaZe · 5 mapsedge FaZe +6%The MongolZ · 4 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%70%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge The MongolZ +20%The MongolZ · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
75%60%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge FaZe +15%The MongolZ · 1 map
OverpassThe MongolZ ban
33%43%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge The MongolZ +10%The MongolZ · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanThe MongolZ remove Ancient
3. PickFaZe take Mirage
4. PickThe MongolZ take Dust2
5. BanThe MongolZ remove Overpass
6. BanFaZe remove Nuke
DeciderCache (75% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct16:12
FaZe 58%The MongolZ 42%
The model gave 58% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
FaZe 82%The MongolZ 18%
The model gave 82% on FaZe — the map was taken by The MongolZ.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
FaZe 67%The MongolZ 33%
The model gave 67% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 52%
Series resultFaZe 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3