Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Falcons Force ban
71%27%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge INOX Division +44%Falcons Force · 7 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
65%25%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +40%Falcons Force · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
61%57%
INOX Division · 19 mapsnearly even +4%Falcons Force · 3 maps
AncientFalcons Force pick
67%40%
INOX Division · 14 mapsedge INOX Division +27%Falcons Force · 6 maps
OverpassFalcons Force ban
56%50%
INOX Division · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +6%Falcons Force · 0 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
38%40%
INOX Division · 9 mapsnearly even -2%Falcons Force · 1 map
MirageINOX Division ban
50%58%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge Falcons Force +8%Falcons Force · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanFalcons Force remove Overpass
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickFalcons Force take Ancient
5. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
6. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (61% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
INOX Division 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
INOX Division 57%Falcons Force 43%
The model gave 57% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
INOX Division 85%Falcons Force 15%
The model gave 85% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 74%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3