CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
R2#208 in the world · win 1:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Crashers#174 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2R2 ban
40%50%
R2 · 1 mapedge Crashers +10%Crashers · 2 maps
AncientCrashers ban
60%40%
R2 · 1 mapedge R2 +20%Crashers · 1 map
InfernoCrashers ban
50%33%
R2 · 0 mapsedge R2 +17%Crashers · 2 maps
NukeR2 pick
50%50%
R2 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Crashers · 0 maps
DefaultCrashers pick
50%60%
R2 · 0 mapsedge Crashers +10%Crashers · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanR2 remove Dust2
2. BanCrashers remove Inferno
3. PickR2 take Nuke
4. PickCrashers take Default
5. BanCrashers remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
R2 40%Crashers 60%
The model gave 60% on Crashers — the map was taken by R2.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrashers · 54%
Series resultR2 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1