CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLilmix ban
38%60%
Lilmix · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +22%ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 map
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
20%57%
Lilmix · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +37%ex-Zero Tenacity · 3 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
63%50%
Lilmix · 4 mapsedge Lilmix +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
InfernoLilmix pick
71%60%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge Lilmix +11%ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 map
NukeLilmix ban
50%67%
Lilmix · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 2 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
67%50%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Lilmix +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Nuke
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickLilmix take Inferno
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanLilmix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Lilmix 40%ex-Zero Tenacity 60%
The model gave 60% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 59%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1