Thunderpick World Championship 2026 North America · BO3
result vs prediction
Zomblers#192 in the world · win 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
InControl#154 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageZomblers pick
71%67%
Zomblers · 3 mapsnearly even +4%InControl · 2 maps
AncientInControl ban
71%50%
Zomblers · 3 mapsedge Zomblers +21%InControl · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
33%40%
Zomblers · 2 mapsedge InControl +7%InControl · 1 map
InfernoZomblers ban
50%50%
Zomblers · 0 mapsnearly even +0%InControl · 2 maps
NukeInControl pick
50%67%
Zomblers · 0 mapsedge InControl +17%InControl · 2 maps
OverpassZomblers ban
33%50%
Zomblers · 2 mapsedge InControl +17%InControl · 0 maps
DefaultInControl ban
60%50%
Zomblers · 1 mapedge Zomblers +10%InControl · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZomblers remove Inferno
2. BanInControl remove Ancient
3. PickZomblers take Mirage
4. PickInControl take Nuke
5. BanInControl remove Default
6. BanZomblers remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (33% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
Zomblers 53%InControl 47%
The model gave 53% on Zomblers — the map was taken by Zomblers.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Zomblers 53%InControl 47%
The model gave 53% on Zomblers — the map was taken by Zomblers.
Model check result
Model favoriteInControl · 62%
Series resultZomblers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2