BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#10 in the world · win 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FaZe#11 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFaZe ban
67%33%
Natus Vincere · 2 mapsedge Natus Vincere +34%FaZe · 2 maps
MirageFaZe ban
60%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%FaZe · 2 maps
AnubisNatus Vincere pick
60%40%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +20%FaZe · 1 map
Dust2FaZe pick
50%67%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge FaZe +17%FaZe · 2 maps
NukeNatus Vincere ban
50%60%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge FaZe +10%FaZe · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Nuke
2. BanFaZe remove Ancient
3. PickNatus Vincere take Anubis
4. PickFaZe take Dust2
5. BanFaZe remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Natus Vincere 31%FaZe 69%
The model gave 69% on FaZe — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Natus Vincere 82%FaZe 18%
The model gave 82% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 89%
Series resultNatus Vincere 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2