CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ASTRAL#71 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBebop ban
63%40%
ASTRAL · 4 mapsedge ASTRAL +23%Bebop · 1 map
MirageBebop pick
71%67%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Bebop · 2 maps
NukeBebop ban
57%40%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +17%Bebop · 1 map
DefaultASTRAL pick
50%43%
ASTRAL · 0 mapsedge ASTRAL +7%Bebop · 3 maps
Dust2ASTRAL ban
60%67%
ASTRAL · 1 mapedge Bebop +7%Bebop · 2 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
33%40%
ASTRAL · 2 mapsedge Bebop +7%Bebop · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickASTRAL take Default
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Nuke
6. BanASTRAL remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
ASTRAL 46%Bebop 54%
The model gave 54% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
ASTRAL 40%Bebop 60%
The model gave 60% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 51%
Series resultBebop 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2