CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HAVU ban
50%40%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%HAVU · 1 map
Mirageex-RUBY pick
50%40%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%HAVU · 1 map
Nukeex-RUBY ban
50%60%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge HAVU +10%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Nuke
2. BanHAVU remove Dust2
3. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
ex-RUBY 63%HAVU 37%
The model gave 63% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Nukeprediction missed13:1
ex-RUBY 37%HAVU 63%
The model gave 63% on HAVU — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 52%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2