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CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#63 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MANA#86 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
63%60%
INOX Division · 4 mapsnearly even +3%MANA · 1 map
MirageINOX Division ban
50%50%
INOX Division · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MANA · 4 maps
NukeMANA ban
63%50%
INOX Division · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +13%MANA · 0 maps
AnubisMANA pick
50%57%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge MANA +7%MANA · 3 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
43%50%
INOX Division · 3 mapsedge MANA +7%MANA · 0 maps
OverpassMANA ban
67%40%
INOX Division · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +27%MANA · 1 map
AncientINOX Division ban
60%40%
INOX Division · 1 mapedge INOX Division +20%MANA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanMANA remove Nuke
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickMANA take Anubis
5. BanMANA remove Overpass
6. BanINOX Division remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (63% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
INOX Division 65%MANA 35%
The model gave 65% on INOX Division — the map was taken by MANA.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
INOX Division 50%MANA 50%
The model gave 50% on MANA — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
INOX Division 43%MANA 57%
The model gave 57% on MANA — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteMANA · 53%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3