CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultUNO MILLE ban
60%50%
ELITES · 1 mapedge ELITES +10%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
Dust2ELITES ban
50%60%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 1 map
InfernoELITES pick
50%60%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanELITES remove Dust2
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Default
3. PickELITES take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
ELITES 60%UNO MILLE 40%
The model gave 60% on ELITES — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 69%
Series resultUNO MILLE 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1