BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Last Resort#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientThe Last Resort pick
50%50%
GenOne · 2 mapsnearly even +0%The Last Resort · 2 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
50%43%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +7%The Last Resort · 3 maps
NukeGenOne ban
60%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge GenOne +10%The Last Resort · 2 maps
OverpassGenOne pick
50%57%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +7%The Last Resort · 3 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
50%67%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +17%The Last Resort · 2 maps
Dust2The Last Resort ban
67%50%
GenOne · 2 mapsedge GenOne +17%The Last Resort · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Anubis
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
3. PickGenOne take Overpass
4. PickThe Last Resort take Ancient
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
6. BanGenOne remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
GenOne 47%The Last Resort 53%
The model gave 53% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
GenOne 63%The Last Resort 37%
The model gave 63% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 56%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2