CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
R2#208 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKeyd Stars ban
60%50%
R2 · 1 mapedge R2 +10%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
50%43%
R2 · 0 mapsedge R2 +7%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
MirageR2 ban
50%43%
R2 · 0 mapsedge R2 +7%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
NukeR2 pick
60%60%
R2 · 1 mapnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanR2 remove Mirage
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Ancient
3. PickR2 take Nuke
4. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
R2 54%Keyd Stars 46%
The model gave 54% on R2 — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
R2 53%Keyd Stars 47%
The model gave 53% on R2 — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 62%
Series resultKeyd Stars 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2