CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#103 in the world · win 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Privateer#189 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
59%25%
Inner Circle Academy · 25 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +34%Privateer · 8 maps
AncientPrivateer pick
50%40%
Inner Circle Academy · 20 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +10%Privateer · 6 maps
NukeInner Circle Academy ban
47%43%
Inner Circle Academy · 13 mapsnearly even +4%Privateer · 10 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
59%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 18 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +9%Privateer · 0 maps
MirageInner Circle Academy ban
50%33%
Inner Circle Academy · 12 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +17%Privateer · 5 maps
CachePrivateer ban
56%40%
Inner Circle Academy · 5 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +16%Privateer · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
Inner Circle Academy · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +10%Privateer · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Nuke
2. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
4. PickPrivateer take Ancient
5. BanPrivateer remove Cache
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
Inner Circle Academy 51%Privateer 49%
The model gave 51% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Inner Circle Academy 83%Privateer 17%
The model gave 83% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Privateer.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Inner Circle Academy 60%Privateer 40%
The model gave 60% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 61%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3