CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Strael Bora#202 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fire Flux#128 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisFire Flux pick
30%57%
Strael Bora · 6 mapsedge Fire Flux +27%Fire Flux · 10 maps
Dust2Strael Bora ban
33%50%
Strael Bora · 2 mapsedge Fire Flux +17%Fire Flux · 12 maps
InfernoStrael Bora pick
50%62%
Strael Bora · 4 mapsedge Fire Flux +12%Fire Flux · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%50%
Strael Bora · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fire Flux · 8 maps
MirageStrael Bora ban
50%42%
Strael Bora · 0 mapsedge Strael Bora +8%Fire Flux · 8 maps
NukeFire Flux ban
29%56%
Strael Bora · 3 mapsedge Fire Flux +27%Fire Flux · 5 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
43%29%
Strael Bora · 3 mapsedge Strael Bora +14%Fire Flux · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanStrael Bora remove Dust2
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickStrael Bora take Inferno
4. PickFire Flux take Anubis
5. BanFire Flux remove Nuke
6. BanStrael Bora remove Mirage
DeciderCache (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
Strael Bora 27%Fire Flux 73%
The model gave 73% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Strael Bora 31%Fire Flux 69%
The model gave 69% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 67%
Series resultFire Flux 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2