CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#148 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
47%47%
Noir Verse · 15 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
43%82%
Noir Verse · 10 mapsedge Spirit Academy +39%Spirit Academy · 7 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
56%43%
Noir Verse · 14 mapsedge Noir Verse +13%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
NukeSpirit Academy ban
47%30%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge Noir Verse +17%Spirit Academy · 6 maps
AnubisNoir Verse ban
47%71%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge Spirit Academy +24%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
CacheNoir Verse pick
50%50%
Noir Verse · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 4 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy pick
36%50%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
3. PickNoir Verse take Cache
4. PickSpirit Academy take Default
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Nuke
6. BanNoir Verse remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (47% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct16:12
Noir Verse 53%Spirit Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
Noir Verse 13%Spirit Academy 87%
The model gave 87% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
Noir Verse 51%Spirit Academy 49%
The model gave 51% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 57%
Series resultNoir Verse 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3